WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 28, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following New York statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-27) of 600 likely general election voters.
“Trump is capturing 15 percent more of the Hispanic voters in New York state than in 2020,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “This is a trend we continue to see across the country where Trump has made significant gains among Black and Hispanic voters, especially non-white working-class voters. Trump also has a more favorable view among undecided voters in the New York senate race which could have a more positive impact on Mike Sapraicone’s U.S. Senate campaign and other down-ballot races.”
Here are Brown’s top takeaways:
Governor Hochul Image: unfavorable (50%); favorable (37%).
Presidential Race: Harris (57%); Trump (39%); undecided (4%).
Senate Race: D-Kirsten Gillibrand (55%); R-Mike Sapraicone (34%); undecided (10%); LaRouche Party (1%).
Vote Method: vote in-person on Election Day (50%); vote early in-person (27%); already voted (20%); vote absentee by mail (4%).
Top Issues: threats to democracy (22%); inflation and the economy (20%); illegal immigration and border security (20%); abortion protections (11%); crime and public safety (8%).
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Cygnal, an award-winning international public opinion and predictive analytics firm, has revolutionized the polling industry with its multi-mode polling, message mapping, and Political Emotive Analysis. Recognized as the #1 Republican private pollster by FiveThirtyEight and the most accurate polling firm by The New York Times, Cygnal boasts an impressive 96% accuracy rate in the 2022 election cycle. With experience in all 50 U.S. states and 17 countries, the firm has conducted over 3,000 campaigns and more than 1,200 polls in 2022 alone. Cygnal’s client roster includes high-profile figures such as Governors Greg Abbott and Brian Kemp, along with numerous Members of Congress, solidifying its position as a leader in political polling and analytics. Contact Cygnal here.