POLL: Republicans Gain Narrow Lead, Dems Open to RFK Jr., Unity Ticket Ties the Presidential, and More 

WASHINGTON D.C. – Cygnal, the nation’s most accurate private polling firm, released its latest national poll data on an array of trending topics, from the presidential race and vice-presidential politics to who’s winning the culture wars and wokeness in corporate America.

“America remains a center-right nation on a host of cultural and political issues,” said pollster John Rogers, who led this month’s survey. “Most Americans think it is inappropriate for government buildings to display the pride flag. Sixty-two percent of voters say that the LGBTQIA+ movement has become too extreme, and that includes 57% of Americans under the age of 45 and six-in-ten Independents. Companies like Target and the Los Angeles Dodgers might want to think twice before pushing a woke agenda on their employees, customers, and fans.”  

Rogers provided the following key takeaways from this national poll conducted June 20-22: 

• Republican candidates for Congress grew their lead +1 (46%) over Democratic opponents (45%) on the generic ballot, up another point from last month. 

• A majority (61%) think Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s primary challenge to Joe Biden is healthy for the political process, including 55% of Democrats. 
• If the only options for president were Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and an unspecified “unity ticket” consisting of one conservative and one liberal, 9% said they would support the unity ticket putting a Trump-Biden matchup at a near tie. 
• Nearly half (49%) think Joe Biden should replace Kamala Harris as his running mate, including 28% of Democrats.  
• Republicans gain new ground on cultural issues with a clear majority (62%) saying the LGBTQIA+ movement has become too extreme; a majority (57%) supporting the idea of a 15-week abortion ban; and a plurality viewing Democrats (44%) as the most extreme political party. 
• Half (49%) think the indictment of Donald Trump regarding his handling of government documents is politically motivated while 46% said Trump’s case was different than Biden’s and therefore fair. Conversely 46% said Trump’s indictment was unfair, and that he is being singled out for a similar offense to Biden’s. 

“The Dobbs decision put abortion front-and-center in the 2022 midterms, but the data suggest that most voters would be with Republicans on a 15-week federal ban if it includes exceptions,” Rogers added. “Fifty-six percent of college-educated suburban women agree with that position. Biden and Democrat Party leaders run the risk of overplaying their hand if abortion is the only issue they are talking about for the next year.”

The nation may not be quite as divided as political cable news shows and social media would suggest. Fifty-two percent say that some-to-all of their friends are of a different political party. That is not to say voters take the differences between the political parties lightly. Most Americans (61%) say if they spoke with someone from the opposite party for an hour, they would disagree with each other—but only 12% think the disagreements would be about “nearly everything.” 

When asked about how many friends of a different political persuasion they have, just over a third (32%) said just some of their friends differ in viewpoints. Nearly the same amount (29%) said that if they spent an hour talking to someone of a differing view, they’d disagree on a lot, but their intent in outcome would be similar. 

You can view June data in the analysis deck below.