WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 26, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following New Jersey statewide poll (conducted Oct. 23-24) of 600 likely general election voters.
“Trump is already performing near his 2020 numbers while Harris is underperforming Biden in 2020 by 5%,” said Pollster and VP of Polling, Brock McCleary. “No surprise Harris is leading, but she shows weakness among a group of Democrats who are female, diverse, working class, and middle-income. Forty percent of these voters have an unfavorable view of Harris.”
Here are McCleary’s top takeaways:
Presidential Race: Harris (52%); Trump (40%); undecided (4%); third party (4%).
Senate Race: D-Andy Kim (51%); R-Curtis Bashaw (32%); undecided (14%); third party (3%).
Vote Method: vote in-person on Election Day (55%); vote early in-person (21%); already voted (15%); vote absentee by mail (9%).
Top Issues: inflation and the economy (26%); illegal immigration and border security (20%); threats to democracy (15%); abortion (11%).
Jersey Direction: wrong track (44.5%); right track (44.7%); unsure (10.9%).
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Cygnal, an award-winning international public opinion and predictive analytics firm, has revolutionized the polling industry with its multi-mode polling, message mapping, and Political Emotive Analysis. Recognized as the #1 Republican private pollster by FiveThirtyEight and the most accurate polling firm by The New York Times, Cygnal boasts an impressive 96% accuracy rate in the 2022 election cycle. With experience in all 50 U.S. states and 17 countries, the firm has conducted over 3,000 campaigns and more than 1,200 polls in 2022 alone. Cygnal’s client roster includes high-profile figures such as Governors Greg Abbott and Brian Kemp, along with numerous Members of Congress, solidifying its position as a leader in political polling and analytics. Contact Cygnal here.