Cygnal Poll: Braun Holds Lead in US Senate Race

MONTGOMERY, Ala. –With just seven days until election day, a poll by Cygnal, a national polling and research firm, shows Republican Mike Braun with a 3-point advantage over incumbent Senator Joe Donnelly in Indiana’s US Senate race.

“Despite Braun’s lower overall favorability, he stands to benefit from Republican voters hoping to send Democrats a message that they support President Trump and his policies,” said Brent Buchanan, Cygnal’s president and founder.

The Cygnal survey, conducted October 26 – 27, with 505 likely general election voters, shows Braun leading Donnelly 49% to 46%, with only 2% of voters undecided.

As the final days of election season come to a close, interest in the race remains intense. When asked how interested they were in the upcoming midterm elections on a scale of 0 to 10, 71% of survey respondents rated their interest as a 9 or 10. Only 10% of voters said their interest in the election was low falling between 0 and 5. 19% of respondents have took advantage of early voting.

“There are those who want to send the President a message, but that is not translating into significant votes for Donnelly,” said Josh Pendergrass, Cygnal’s director of client strategy. “Voters are more likely to support candidates who support President Trump than they are to support candidates who oppose him. Republicans have a real chance of flipping the Indiana Senate seat when Trump supporters turn out.”

This live telephone survey was conducted on October 26 – 27 with 501 likely general election voters giving the poll a margin of error of ±4.36%. Interviews were conducted by live professional agents calling landline and cell phones. Cygnal is unaffiliated with either campaign or outside groups in the race.

The toplines, and crosstabs have been uploaded to our website. You can view our analysis memo here and a presentation of the results here.

Full data sets – including complete crosstabs, Smart Tables, and an extended memo – are available for purchase at a nominal fee; email [email protected] for details.