Cygnal Poll: Tuberville Would Beat Jones by a Wider Margin than Sessions

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – According to a poll released today, in a general election matchup between Senator Doug Jones, an independent candidate, and one of the two potential Republican challengers, Tommy Tuberville would beat Jones by a wider margin than would Jeff Sessions.

The Cygnal survey, conducted last week with 530 likely voters, shows former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville besting Jones by 14 points. Former Senator and Attorney General Jeff Sessions beats Jones by 10 points. When put up against Jones and an independent candidate, Tuberville does particularly better than Sessions with independent voters, medium-income voters, and college-educated voters. In fact, Sessions is 1 point behind Jones in the Birmingham media market, whereas Tuberville is ahead of Jones in all media markets.

Tuberville vs. Jones

Sessions vs. Jones

“Throughout this race we’ve continued to see Tuberville in the lead, and our polling data before the primary was spot-on” said Brent Buchanan, Cygnal’s CEO and Founder. “Now looking ahead to the general election, Tommy Tuberville is performing stronger against incumbent Doug Jones compared to Jeff Sessions.”

The probabilistic mixed-mode survey, pioneered by Cygnal – who was named the most accurate private polling firm in the nation by The New York Times in 2018 – was conducted June 13 – 16, with 530 likely general election voters. It has a margin of error of ±4.26%. Interviews were conducted using Interactive Voice Response (IVR) to landline phones, and known registered voters received invitations to participate in the survey via SMS and email. This methodology accounts for the way many voters now communicate – using online communication rather than answering phone calls.

Cygnal is not working with any candidate or independent expenditure in the Alabama U.S. Senate race.