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Explore the latest news from Cygnal's team of expert pollsters and innovators.

California Poll Reveals Trump Gains Six Points Among Hispanic Voters as Harris Struggles Compared to Biden’s 2020 Performance 

WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 1, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following California statewide poll (conducted Oct. 27-30) of 611 likely general election voters.    “Even in solidly blue California Trump has gained ground with Hispanic by six points, outperforming his 2020 numbers,” said Pollster and Director of Client Strategy, Chris Lane. “Harris is still supported two-to-one by Hispanics in the state, but her underperformance compared to Biden’s 2020 numbers tracks with her flatlining performance with this key group nationally.”

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Virginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters 

WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 1, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Virginia statewide poll (conducted Oct. 27-29) of 600 likely general election voters.    “Trump continues to gain ground among non-college educated voters whereas Harris is performing on par with Clinton and Biden’s number from 2016 and 2020,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “Combine Trump’s gains and Harris’ flatlines with the fact that 55 percent of Virginia voters think the Commonwealth is headed in the right direction and over 52 percent approve of the job Governor Youngkin is doing means the momentum is with Republicans with just to go to Election Day.”

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Poll: Republican Enthusiasm Surges as Harris Remains Flat; Race Still Tied 

WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 31, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted Oct. 24-26) of 1,507 likely general election voters.    “Republican enthusiasm has increased by 10 points this month, and while there are more Republicans who are voting early, it’s important to not read too much into it,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Harris managed to increase her favorable image significantly in her first month, in large part due to glowing media coverage, but nothing about this election has been normal – meaning its outcome probably won’t be normal either. A focus on male voters, especially young men, is a new phenomenon in elections, and how this group turns out compared to non-college and college-educated women could have a noticeable impact.”

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Florida Poll: Death Knell for Democrats Among Hispanics, Trump Captures More Than Half, Leads Harris Among Puerto Ricans; Scott in Solid Position 

WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 30, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Florida statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters. “What we’re seeing among Hispanic voters in the Sunshine state is a death knell for Democrats’ political hopes in Florida,” said Pollster John Rogers. “Among Hispanics, Trump leads Kamala Harris by 10 points, Rick Scott leads by 8 points in the US Senate race, and Governor DeSantis has a +14 net image.”

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Texas Poll: Harris Drags Allred Down as Democrats’ White Whale Disappears   

WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 29, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Texas statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters.    “For years, Texas has been the ‘white whale’ for national Democrat donors and operatives—but once again, the Lone Star State will remain red—likely more red than in 2020,” said Pollster, John Rogers. “Don't expect that to change—in addition to the Rio Grande Valley's shift to the right, new Texans also favor Cruz, Trump, and the GOP.”

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Trump Surges with New York Hispanic Voters: Poll Shows 15-Point Gain Since 2020  

WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 28, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following New York statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-27) of 600 likely general election voters. “Trump is capturing 15 percent more of the Hispanic voters in New York state than in 2020,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “This is a trend we continue to see across the country where Trump has made significant gains among Black and Hispanic voters, especially non-white working-class voters. Trump also has a more favorable view among undecided voters in the New York senate race which could have a more positive impact on Mike Sapraicone’s U.S. Senate campaign and other down-ballot races.”

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New Jersey Statewide Poll: Harris Underperforms Compared to Past Democratic Nominees 

WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 26, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following New Jersey statewide poll (conducted Oct. 23-24) of 600 likely general election voters.    “Trump is already performing near his 2020 numbers while Harris is underperforming Biden in 2020 by 5%,” said Pollster and VP of Polling, Brock McCleary. “No surprise Harris is leading, but she shows weakness among a group of Democrats who are female, diverse, working class, and middle-income. Forty percent of these voters have an unfavorable view of Harris.”

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Watch – Pollster John Rogers Joins Newsmax

Pollster Mitch Brown breaks down Election 2024 and tightening of the polls as we inch toward Election Day. What's the difference maker for Trump? Voters love his recent campaign appearances and the stunt at McDonald's is the latest proof of that.

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Watch – Pollster Mitch Brown Joins Newsmax

Pollster Mitch Brown breaks down Election 2024 and tightening of the polls as we inch toward Election Day. What's the difference maker for Trump? Voters love his recent campaign appearances and the stunt at McDonald's is the latest proof of that.

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Newsweek: JD Vance’s Popularity Rating Is Positive for First Time in Months (Cygnal Poll)

JD Vance's favorability rating has had "serious positive movement" and is marginally positive for the first time in months, a new poll shows. The Republican nominee for vice president has struggled in the polls since being picked as Donald Trump's running mate in July but performed well during his recent debate with his Democratic counterpart, Tim Walz. Vance's favorability is currently at 45.4 percent, against an unfavorability rating of 45, according to a new survey carried out by analytics firm Cygnal. That gives him a net favorability of 0.4 with a +/- 2.52 percent margin of error, which makes it statistically net even. The survey of 1,500 people between October 2 and 3 marks a significant change from Cygnal's previous polls.

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