2024 Election Post-Mortem
On Election Day, Cygnal conducted a massive, multi-modal national exit poll of 9,000 voters. We found this was very much a realignment election, driven by changes in key generational and racial groups. The Republican Party is increasingly multi-racial and working class, with strong support among married adults; the Democratic Party is increasingly a coalition of college-educated and older voters.
Read MoreVirginia Poll: Harris Flatlines as Trump Gains Ground Among Non-College Voters
WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 1, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Virginia statewide poll (conducted Oct. 27-29) of 600 likely general election voters. “Trump continues to gain ground among non-college educated voters whereas Harris is performing on par with Clinton and Biden’s number from 2016 and 2020,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “Combine Trump’s gains and Harris’ flatlines with the fact that 55 percent of Virginia voters think the Commonwealth is headed in the right direction and over 52 percent approve of the job Governor Youngkin is doing means the momentum is with Republicans with just to go to Election Day.”
Read MorePoll: Republican Enthusiasm Surges as Harris Remains Flat; Race Still Tied
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 31, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted Oct. 24-26) of 1,507 likely general election voters. “Republican enthusiasm has increased by 10 points this month, and while there are more Republicans who are voting early, it’s important to not read too much into it,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Harris managed to increase her favorable image significantly in her first month, in large part due to glowing media coverage, but nothing about this election has been normal – meaning its outcome probably won’t be normal either. A focus on male voters, especially young men, is a new phenomenon in elections, and how this group turns out compared to non-college and college-educated women could have a noticeable impact.”
Read MoreFlorida Poll: Death Knell for Democrats Among Hispanics, Trump Captures More Than Half, Leads Harris Among Puerto Ricans; Scott in Solid Position
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 30, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Florida statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters. “What we’re seeing among Hispanic voters in the Sunshine state is a death knell for Democrats’ political hopes in Florida,” said Pollster John Rogers. “Among Hispanics, Trump leads Kamala Harris by 10 points, Rick Scott leads by 8 points in the US Senate race, and Governor DeSantis has a +14 net image.”
Read MoreTexas Poll: Harris Drags Allred Down as Democrats’ White Whale Disappears
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 29, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Texas statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters. “For years, Texas has been the ‘white whale’ for national Democrat donors and operatives—but once again, the Lone Star State will remain red—likely more red than in 2020,” said Pollster, John Rogers. “Don't expect that to change—in addition to the Rio Grande Valley's shift to the right, new Texans also favor Cruz, Trump, and the GOP.”
Read MoreWatch – Pollster John Rogers Joins Newsmax
Pollster Mitch Brown breaks down Election 2024 and tightening of the polls as we inch toward Election Day. What's the difference maker for Trump? Voters love his recent campaign appearances and the stunt at McDonald's is the latest proof of that.
Read MoreWatch – Pollster Mitch Brown Joins Newsmax
Pollster Mitch Brown breaks down Election 2024 and tightening of the polls as we inch toward Election Day. What's the difference maker for Trump? Voters love his recent campaign appearances and the stunt at McDonald's is the latest proof of that.
Read MoreNewsweek: JD Vance’s Popularity Rating Is Positive for First Time in Months (Cygnal Poll)
JD Vance's favorability rating has had "serious positive movement" and is marginally positive for the first time in months, a new poll shows. The Republican nominee for vice president has struggled in the polls since being picked as Donald Trump's running mate in July but performed well during his recent debate with his Democratic counterpart, Tim Walz. Vance's favorability is currently at 45.4 percent, against an unfavorability rating of 45, according to a new survey carried out by analytics firm Cygnal. That gives him a net favorability of 0.4 with a +/- 2.52 percent margin of error, which makes it statistically net even. The survey of 1,500 people between October 2 and 3 marks a significant change from Cygnal's previous polls.
Read MoreEarly Vote Results Appear in National Poll; Vance’s Image Improves Post-Debate; Key Voter Groups Want Split Control of Government
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 8, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted Oct. 2-3) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “In the final month before Election Day, Harris’ image is leveling off, indicating she has likely reached her peak favorability,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Meanwhile, Trump is polling better than he has historically, and those so-called ‘shy’ Trump voters, are no longer reserved about their support for him. On voters’ top issue of inflation and the economy, Republicans still hold the advantage, but a surge in messaging on a specific economic vision for the future is a must. The numbers are tight, but this emphasizes the importance of turnout operations and making sure low-propensity voters who tend to lean toward Trump show up. Both Trump and down-ballot Republicans also have an opportunity to turnout the late deciders, those who this poll shows plan to make their decision a few days prior to or on Election Day.”
Read MoreDAILYWIRE: Republicans Blow Out Dems In September Voter Registration In Two Key Swing States
Pennsylvania is considered by many to be the key to victory for both former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump won the state on his way to the White House in 2016 and then lost the state to President Joe Biden in 2020. A poll conducted by Cygnal and shared exclusively with The Daily Wire on Monday showed Trump holding a slim lead over Harris in Pennsylvania’s all-important swing counties of Erie and Northhampton.
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