Three Years In: How ARRO Became More Than We Ever Imagined
When we launched America’s Rising Republican Operatives (ARRO) three years ago, we believed there was a better way to elevate and connect the next generation of conservative talent. We knew the pipeline of young Republican professionals was strong—but perhaps under-recognized and not connected in a meaningful way. What began as an idea to spotlight 30 promising young operatives has grown into something far bigger than we ever expected.
Read MorePoll: AOC More Popular than Schumer, Trump Image Improving, Republicans Decimating Democrats on Key Issue Trust, and More
WASHINGTON, D.C. (May 13, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following monthly National Voter Trends (NVT) poll(conducted May 6-8) of 1,5000 likely midterm general election voters. "Right now, voters trust Republicans more on the central issues like inflation and immigration, and the Democrat Party's brand is at a low point. It is clear that key voter groups feel like Congressional Democrats aren't speaking to their priorities. Forty-three percent of swing voters say inflation or government spending and waste should be the top priority for Congress, while only eight percent of swing voters think Congress should be focused on threats to democracy,” said Pollster John Rogers. “Democrats aren’t connecting with the average voter. ‘Fighting oligarchy’ is an abstraction, arguing for open borders is a losing message across the board, and neither addresses inflation and the economy.”
Read MoreARRO’s 30 Under Thirty Nomination Form
Cygnal, the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private GOP polling firm, has opened the nomination process for the third annual America’s Rising Republican Operatives (ARRO) ‘30 Under Thirty’ Awards. Nominees for ‘30 Under Thirty’ are individuals recognized by their peers as leaders of a rising generation of ambitious and talented professionals working in government, […]
Read MorePOLL: Democrats Continue to Struggle as Trump Maintains Strong Approval, Even in Light of Tariffs
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 8, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following National Voter Trends (NVT) poll (conducted April 1-3) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Democrats are making a lot of noise right now, but our latest national data shows they continue to be on the wrong side of issues where voters prefer the approach by Trump and Republicans,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “When you have nearly a quarter of Democrats refusing to say people who are here illegally as not having broken any U.S. law, or the 52 percent who support federal judges having power to overturn executive actions and laws, it shouldn’t be any wonder congressional Democrats continue to be 19 percent under water with Independents or why 42 percent of swing voters and 51 percent of parents prefer a Republican candidate in the upcoming midterms.”
Read MorePOLL: Optimism Among Middle Easterners Outpaces Americans but U.S. Remains Dominant Influence
DUBAI, U.A.E. (March 13, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the fastest growing and most accurate private U.S.-based polling firms, released the following international poll (conducted March 3-9) of 660 adults (aged 18+) in the general populations of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Qatar. This poll dovetails with our recently released National Voter Trends (NVT) poll comparing views about international affairs and optimism about the direction of America among other issues.
Read MorePOLL: 48 Percent Support Trump Negotiating Settlement to War in Ukraine as Optimism at Home Rises
WASHINGTON, D.C. (March 12, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following National Voter Trends (NVT) poll (conducted Mar. 3-5) of 1,500 likely 2026 general election voters. “President Trump is firing on all cylinders as he continues to fulfill his promises at home with decisive action on border security, he’s also making good on his promises to reassert America’s role on the international stage,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “Voters have an overwhelmingly favorable view of their country while also believing things are getting worse abroad. But they trust Trump on key areas like negotiating with Putin to end the war in Ukraine and getting tough on Iran and its proxies – not to mention countering China in economic power and military influence. Like many challenges on the home front, voters also understand international issues take time to resolve and that’s why, with just a few months into his second presidency, this new data shows Trump has plenty of room to chip away at these international conflicts and keep America first.”
Read MoreVirginia Governor Race Poll: Sears Positioned for Strong Showing
Below is the latest national polling memo from Cygnal (Feb. 26-27 | n=600 | ±3.98%). Sears's favorability 2X Spanberger's: Spanberger underperforms a generic Democrat with non-white voters by 8 points while Sears only trails a generic Republican with the same group by 2 points. Sears outpaces Spanberger's net favorability by 7 points and among swing voters that lead ballons to 21 points.
Read MoreCygnal Continues Its #1 Private Pollster Ranking Streak…and a Bit of Our Story Leading to It
The polling business isn’t for the faint of heart…and I don’t even mean the public polls. That’s a fraction of what us private pollsters do. Nate Silver, the godfather of ranking polling accuracy, just released his 2024 rankings over at the Silver Bulletin (and formerly through FiveThirtyEight). Overall, polling held up pretty well despite some banger misses, like the Iowa poll released days before the election.
Read MorePoll: Trump Winning Over Black Men, DEI Skeptics, and Border Hawks as Democrats Lose Ground
WASHINGTON, D.C. (Feb. 11, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released its monthly National Voter Trend (NVT) poll (conducted February 4-5) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Throughout the election we highlighted just how far out of touch Democrats had become from the American public, and now after Trump’s victory and a breakneck pace of action on his campaign promises, it’s pretty clear Dems haven’t learned much,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Take the ticked-off, young, diverse, working-class voters that propelled Trump to the White House for example. They were a key constituency that gave Trump an edge over Harris as white voters stayed flat in their margin for Trump. Today, they’re not nearly as ticked-off, as they are more optimistic than ever about the direction of our country – in less than a month. If you’re on Team Trump right now, you’ve got to be feeling good about these numbers and quick progress they’ve made already with voters.”
Read MoreHow Americans are Outsmarting the Algorithmic Echo Chambers to Find Better News
In 2008, then candidate Barack Obama’s campaign marked the unofficial beginning of the “new media wars” and his meteoric rise was credited in large part due to his embrace of leveraging alternative channels of news and information like social media apps and mobile targeting technology. Republicans were late to the game and struggled to course correct. Now they’ve caught up. Thanks to the generationally rare talents, magnetism, and flare of Donald Trump – a perfect star for a fully matured digital news and social media environment – Republicans have leveled the playing field, and voters are realigning their consumption habits in this new era of vast and more trustworthy alternatives. As a consumer, you probably already know this is true or have been a part of this shift. But it’s not just a sense, Cygnal has some data to back it up (go figure).
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