Are the Polls still making the same mistake all over again?

Brock McCleary, president of Harper Polling, recently told Roll Call that voter behavior will get more mysterious. Pollsters typically model turnout using statistical methods to estimate who will be a likely voter, he explained, but that gets more difficult in a pandemic as states shake up voting methods to prevent the virus’ spread.

“Is it going to change people who are historically nonvoters into voters?” McCleary asked. “Is it going to turn people who are traditionally only general election voters into primary voters because they’re bored?”

ARE THE POLLS MAKING THE SAME MISTAKE ALL OVER AGAIN?

by Ken Smukler |The Philadelphia Citizen | October 20, 2020