Articles

Read winning trends and ideas from our team of experts.

National Survey: Classified documents, ’24 presidential matchups, and Roe impact 

WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 2,529 likely 2024 general election voters – conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal – shows former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden’s classified documents scandals have canceled each other out,  Governor Ron DeSantis performs slightly better than other GOP candidates in a hypothetical 2024 presidential race, and despite people being bothered by the decision, only 9% of voters report the overturning of Roe v. Wade having a negative impact on them.

Read More

POLL: Midterm shakeup, DeSantis within 5% of Trump 

WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 1,019 likely Republican presidential primary voters – a much larger sample than many recent primary polls reported on in recent weeks – conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal shows former President Donald Trump has slipped a few points on the presidential primary ballot while Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ image and ballot standing are on the rise.  

Read More

Michigan – A Polling Experiment Explained 

Gretchen Whitmer dominated the Michigan governor’s race, winning by a large margin. Our polling firm, Cygnal, set out with an experiment to test our Momentum tracking methodology against traditional tracking polls. 

Read More

Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/5/22  

For our last MI tracking poll, we show Governor Whitmer with a 4%-point lead on the gubernatorial ballot that shrinks to three and a half points when leaners are pushed. Democrats are leading in the other races as well, despite Republicans holding the edge on the generic congressional ballot.

Read More

Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 11/4/22  

We believe that about a quarter of voters have already voted in Ohio as we enter the final weekend before Election Day. In this writeup, we’ll explore where we have the final ballots and then a few different turnout scenarios for the Senate. 

Read More

Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/3/22  

The races have tightened with Republicans reclaiming the lead on the generic ballot, as Biden’s approval takes a small hit. Whitmer has also slipped just under 50% but after pushing undecided, comes back out to a 5-point lead. The top of the ticket for the governor’s race seems to be mirroring the images on these questions. 

Read More

Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 11/2/22  

Biden’s unfavorable share remained above 61% for our second tracker in a row as inflation ticked up as a top issue to a new high of 37.2%. This number is even higher among those who have yet to vote, as shown below, so it’s even more potent as an issue

Read More

POLL: Republicans Continue to Grow Momentum in Lead Up to Election Day

WASHINGTON D.C. — A survey of 2,015 likely midterm voters, conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal, shows the GOP leading the generic ballot by 3 points headed into the final week of the midterm cycle.

Read More

Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/1/22  

The Democratic advantage on the generic ballot ticked back down to a one-point lead. Not much moved in the gubernatorial race with a six-and-a-half-point lead still for the incumbent Democrat, but the favorable gap between Whitmer and Dixon is now five points (that usually can be a leading indicator).

Read More

October National Voter Trends Panel

In our October National Voter Trends Panel, Cygnal President & Founder Brent Buchanan and Director of Sampling & Innovation Noah Wyhof-Rudnick delivered key insights into the data shifts from the past month before midterms.

Read More