Articles

Read winning trends and ideas from our team of experts.

In New Electoral College Map, Shifting Battleground Dynamics

“I’m skeptical of the idea that if Biden were to prevail that somehow that would trigger a reimagining of the Republican Party in the aftermath,” said Brock McCleary, a Harrisburg-based pollster whose political practice specializes in working for GOP campaigns and candidates.

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Polling is More Than a Ballot Test

Show me the political environment, election trends, and candidate images in any district in the country, and I’ll tell you where the race stands today. Too often, campaigns, consultants, and committees get tied around the axel over the ballot test. What matters more is what has to be done to win the race by shifting […]

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Cygnal Poll: Florida Voters Approve of DeSantis’ Handling of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Vaccine Distribution

WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 800 likely general election voters in Florida, conducted by the national survey research and polling firm Cygnal, shows that Floridians overwhelmingly approve of Governor DeSantis’ handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and vaccine distribution and don’t trust the media to report it fairly.  The statewide Cygnal survey, which was conducted […]

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Cygnal Saw the Future of Polling First…FiveThirtyEight Agrees

Cygnal was the only Republican pollster with absolutely no races with an error outside the margin of error. We also predicted the correct winner in 95% of our pre-election polls.

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I Did Not Want to Work for a Political Vendor.

I’ll be honest. I really did not want to work for a political vendor. It’s nothing against them. I have hired a lot of vendors over the years, and overall, they have been quite good – some have even become good friends. But… I wasn’t sure I wanted to spend my time selling. I was […]

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The Parties’ Changing Coalitions by Congressional District

Though we disagree vehemently on ideology 🤫, the data team over at Daily Kos Elections has calculated the results of the last three presidential elections by congressional district, a gift for us election data nerds.  Here at Cygnal, we like to use these numbers to look at different trends over time – especially anything that […]

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Polling Is Broken…At Least the Very Old & Very New Ways of Doing It

Not a conversation has gone by in the past several months that hasn’t devolved into “what’s wrong with polling” after someone finds out I work at a polling firm. And there’s good reason for the general public – and even practitioners – to doubt the accuracy of political polls. Let’s step into some minutia quickly […]

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Cygnal Poll: Legislators’ Jobs Turned Upside Down by COVID-19, Polling & Technology Prove Invaluable for Advocacy Outreach

WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 325 state lawmakers and staff, conducted by the national survey research and polling firm Cygnal, shows that COVID-19 has had a big impact on the business of legislating. Despite the pandemic, however, the best way to capture a legislator’s attention is still through their constituents.  The nationwide Cygnal survey […]

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County Trends & Toplines

Below is a dashboard that tracks the difference in the margin between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In the top left corner is a dropdown menu to filter the results by whichever state you would like to see. The top is a map and then all of the counties are plotted below showing the […]

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Republicans Raised 2 Billion Dollars in 2020. Where Did it Go? We Have the Details.

After years of being outpaced among individual donors, WinRed, a donation platform, was created as an answer to ActBlue Democratic's third-party processing site for donations . With the party completely on board, WinRed would process almost $2 billion for the 2020 cycle to federal races, on top of state and local candidates. Find out where the money went.

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