National Survey: Classified documents, ’24 presidential matchups, and Roe impact 

WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 2,529 likely 2024 general election voters – conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal – shows former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden’s classified documents scandals have canceled each other out,  Governor Ron DeSantis performs slightly better than other GOP candidates in a hypothetical 2024 presidential race, and despite people being bothered by the decision, only 9% of voters report the overturning of Roe v. Wade having a negative impact on them.    

The nationwide Cygnal survey looked at top issues and national political figures’ image with voters, including six of those with potential 2024 presidential ambitions.  

In three hypothetical 2024 presidential general election matchups, President Biden leads Trump by 3, DeSantis by one, and former Vice President Mike Pence by 4. Most of the national political figures tested have similar negative images: Biden (-2% Net fav), Trump (-3% Net fav), Harris (-2% Net Fav), Pence (-4% Net fav), and Newsom (-5% Net fav), while Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has a net favorability of 11%.  

“The generic ballot and the different potential general election presidential matchups are all in a great spot for Republicans,” stated Cygnal President, Founder, and pollster Brent Buchanan. “Normally a presidential election turnout model isn’t as favorable for Republicans as a midterm turnout, but 2024 is already shaping up to be positive for the GOP.”  

Regarding hot-button issues, voters believe that the classified document troubles for both Biden and Trump end up negating each other and may be one of the reasons why the majority (57%) say they don’t want either of them to run in 2024. Voters are still most concerned with inflation and immigration when it comes to their top priority for the government. Voters are struggling to find affordable housing throughout the country, leading to over 60% of voters saying they would support a ban on foreign and corporate purchases of residential property in the US. 

“Buying a home in America is becoming more challenging by the day, with people being forced to continue renting instead of buying a home. Voters are becoming aware that foreign and corporate purchases of residential property are driving up their cost of living and a majority believe we should follow in the steps of Canada and ban these practices,” said Cygnal Director of Political Strategy Mitch Brown. 

One thing GOP voters are clear about — their top concerns are pocketbook issues. Immigration is still a large issue for older GOP voters, but 39% of respondents selected an economic issue as their top concern.  

Likely 2024 general election voters nationwide were interviewed between January 19 – 20, 2023. This survey has a sample size of n2529 and a MoE of ±1.95%.