WASHINGTON D.C. – Cygnal, the nation’s most accurate private polling firm, announced the results of the company’s latest national likely voter poll. The poll reveals that 69% of Americans believe the country is on the wrong track, including an overwhelming 73% of Independents.
“Biden’s toughest days no longer seem to be in the rearview mirror as voters are returning to the same level of pessimism seen at the height of inflation last summer,” said Chris Lane, Pollster and Director of Client Strategy at Cygnal. “Democrats may have avoided a red wave in 2022 due to a number of factors but don’t count out a new storm in 2024.”
The generic Congressional ballot has shifted in Republicans’ favor to R+2 (R+0.6 in March), with Independents leaning towards Republicans at R+12, while women continue to lean towards Democrats. President Biden’s image remains deeply underwater as he announced his re-election bid, with former President Trump’s image slightly more negative than Biden’s after the indictment.
Inflation remains the overwhelming top issue, followed by gun control and threats to democracy. Republicans and Independents are mostly concerned about inflation, while gun control is largely driven by Democrats and women.
Regarding the indictment of Donald Trump, a slight majority of Americans say it was politically motivated. Meanwhile, potential 2024 Presidential general election matchups show Biden leading Trump 46% / 45% with 9% undecided and Biden tied with DeSantis at 45% / 45% with 10% undecided.
Cygnal’s President and Founder Brent Buchanan added, “There’s a reason culture wars are front-and-center. Nearly 60% of Americans oppose children being exposed to drag queens, with only Democrats and college-educated women being the exception. This proves normal Americans don’t want the far left and progressives pushing their radical values down their throat.”
Cygnal’s latest national poll offers valuable insights into the opinions and attitudes of Americans as the presidential election gears up. The full results of the poll can be found in our analysis deck below.
Likely 2024 general election voters nationwide were interviewed between April 18 – 20, 2023. This survey has a sample size of n2500 and a MoE of ±1.94%.