WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 600 likely general election voters in New Mexico, conducted by the national survey research and polling firm Cygnal, shows that most New Mexicans are ready for an alternative to Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham (52% someone new / 44% deserves reelection).
The statewide Cygnal survey, which was conducted July 6 – 8, 2021, shows voters are split on Grisham’s job approval, but that her net favorability is underwater (-4) and a majority of voters think the state is on the wrong track. More than 70% of voters are worried about a spike in crime in their area (71%) and inflation (80%), while more than three-fourths have heard about or experienced issues with filling open employment positions.
Additionally, Grisham’s actions on unemployment benefits and refusing to send the state’s National Guard to the border make 52% and 47% of respondents, respectively, less likely to support her. When asked if they’d vote for Grisham or “a Republican candidate”, voters are leaning toward the Republican.
“It’s clear that Governor Grisham is in trouble,” said Brent Buchanan, Cygnal’s CEO and founder. “Voters aren’t happy with the direction of the country or the state, they clearly hold her responsible for the latter, and her recent actions only reinforce the fact that she’s out of touch with New Mexico voters.”
Respondents have a slightly more favorable opinion of President Biden (+0.2) than of Grisham, but they’re split when it comes to approval of the job he’s doing and most think the country is on the wrong track.
This probabilistic survey was conducted by Cygnal with 600 likely 2022 general election voters. It has a margin of error of ±4.00%. Known registered voters were interviewed via Interactive Voice Response, SMS, and email invitation. This survey was weighted to a likely 2022 general election voter universe.
The memo can be found below. You can download the crosstabs here by right-clicking the link.