Posts by Brent

Public Polling Deep-Dive in Georgia and Ohio

It’s always interesting to see where late-deciders break in an election or who else shows up. Looking at Georgia and Ohio, two states we polled ten days before the elections, something stood out to me. Both states had extremely close governor’s races in our polls (2.2 points in Georgia and .2 points in Ohio), and […]

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We Nailed Florida – Here’s 5 Takeaways

Despite the supernatural appearance of more and more ballots in two Florida counties, Cygnal’s poll from the week prior to the election has proven to be spot on. In the governor’s race we were just 0.1% off from the actual margin and only 2.2% off in the senate race, both well within the margin of […]

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2018 Midterm Elections: Spot-On Polling

It wasn’t quite a tsunami, but it was definitely a wave – especially in the US House. Statewide offices in several states we polled a week before the election, however, were a different story. (TL;DR We told you so! 😉) Links to full poll results: Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Ohio, Tennessee Turnout in Florida, Georgia, […]

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Cygnal Poll: Braun Holds Lead in US Senate Race

MONTGOMERY, Ala. –With just seven days until election day, a poll by Cygnal, a national polling and research firm, shows Republican Mike Braun with a 3-point advantage over incumbent Senator Joe Donnelly in Indiana’s US Senate race. “Despite Braun’s lower overall favorability, he stands to benefit from Republican voters hoping to send Democrats a message that they […]

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Cygnal Poll: Hawley Leads McCaskill Nearly At Margin of Error

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – With just seven days until the midterm elections, a poll by Cygnal, a national polling and research firm, shows Republican challenger Josh Hawley with a 3-point advantage over incumbent Senator Claire McCaskill in Missouri’s US Senate race. “People won’t find many surprises in the results of this poll; Hawley continues to lead and it […]

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Cygnal Poll: Swift’s ‘Reputation’ Not Enough to Move Voters in TN Senate Race

NASHVILLE, Tenn. – With only 23 days left until the November 6 midterm elections, a poll by Cygnal, a Republican polling and research firm, shows Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Democrat Phil Bredesen has done little to move the needle in the race. The 28-year-old superstar stunned fans by breaking her career-long political silence on Instagram with […]

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Cell Completes Needed

The Question(s) How many people do you know who still use a landline phone? How many do you know who would need a plastic surgeon to remove the cell phone from the palm of their hand? The Answer Despite the number of people in the second category (let’s call them cell-phoners) continually increasing relative to […]

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Pigskin, Politics, and Polling: Five Ways Polling Can Ensure A Winning (Election) Season

Heat. Humidity. Sweat. Two guys hitting each other for the fun of it. Welcome to college football!  College football kicked off (finally) on Saturday with a bang. The bands played, the fans screamed, and the players left it all on the field on the way to a “W.” Fresh out of Fall camp, the players were prepared. That’s what Fall camp is all about – putting […]

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Voter Turnout – Is a Blue Wave Coming?

Crunch time is right around the corner! Thankfully, the college football season starts soon, too. With summer ending, fall races are gearing up to be as exciting as the Kick Six  – at least for us Auburn fans. Prognosticators are touting a blue wave potentially washing up on the political shores of our country, but is there data […]

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Primary Turnout May – or May Not – Signal a Blue Wave

Two articles I read today do a great job of dampening (see what I did there?) the blue wave predictions for November. The first, an excellent piece by Stefan Hankin in Campaigns & Elections, digs into the turnout numbers for primaries this year compared to the last midterm wave – 2010. Read the whole thing, but the […]

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