National Poll: A New Group of Young, Ticked-off, and Working Class Voters Has Emerged + New Impacts of Inflation
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 17, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest-growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll (conducted Apr. 9-10) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “This latest national poll shows a new key voter group emerging. They are young, ticked-off, diverse, working-class, and trending toward Republicans. These voters also skew more female, tend to be younger than 45, and a majority voted for Trump in 2020,” said Cygnal Pollster Mitch Brown. “Despite aligning well with the GOP base, these voters are more moderate and slightly more likely to view the Republican Party as more extreme. And while both Trump and Biden are underwater, with Trump just a tad more than Biden, the main difference is that this group is much more inflation focused. At the same time, illegal immigration and tertiary issues like healthcare are distant priorities. This is both an opportunity and a challenge for Republicans. They will need to speak to those top issues while not appearing extreme on fronts that don’t appeal to those issues if they want to maintain the advantage with 18 percent of the electorate that could swing the outcome of the election.”
Read MoreStatewide Texas Poll: Trump, Cruz, Abbott Remain Strong While Democrats Struggle on the Top Issues; Voters Support E-Verify for All Businesses, Reject Woke Corporate Activism
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 11, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following statewide poll of (conducted Apr. 4-6) of 1,000 likely general election voters in Texas. “Despite some national narratives about Texas turning blue, this latest survey shows good news for Republicans. Governor Abbott’s leadership in the state has helped to create a favorable political environment for Republicans up and down the ballot this November, while President Biden is a millstone around the neck of Texas Democrats,” said Cygnal Pollster John Rogers. “Democrats are losing ground with critical voting groups on major issues like securing the border—which has now become the top political issue for Texas voters both in state and federal elections. This is one among many reasons why Trump is leading statewide by nine points and by five points in the Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston media markets. Couple that with Allred’s slow start and poor name ID in the Senate race and it’s easy to see how Republicans remain well-positioned to keep Texas red.”
Read MoreBattleground Poll: Border Now Top Issue Surpassing Inflation; Soft on Crime Policies Rejected by Voters
WASHINGTON, D.C. (March 14, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll of 39 battleground districts (conducted Mar. 5-7) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “On the issues most important to voters, the crisis at the southern border has surged in the last two months to the top of list in battleground districts,” said Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “When asked about border enforcement, a large plurality said the government should enforce existing immigration laws and deport migrants in violation of it, including 52 percent of Independent voters.”
Read MoreNational Poll: Voters Support a Detain-and-Deport Policy as Illegal Immigration Surges to a Top Concern
WASHINGTON, D.C. (February 15, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released this national poll (conducted Feb. 6-8) of general election voters. “Illegal immigration can no longer be treated as a secondary or even a tertiary issue on the campaign trail,” said Pollster and Director of Client Strategy, Chris Lane. “Not only are voters bombarded with media coverage on the impacts of the border crisis, but they’re also experiencing it in their communities, and that gives credence to the narrative that every town is a border town. This confluence works in the Republicans’ favor because 48% of voters now say they trust the Republican Party more to address our nation’s border security, including a 2:1 margin of Independents.”
Read MoreBattleground Poll: Two Kinds of Democrats Reveal Party Division While Republicans Won’t Move Without Trump
WASHINGTON, D.C. (January 24, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following poll (conducted Jan. 16-18) of America’s toughest battleground congressional districts in the 2024 general election. “What really stands out in this poll is the impact Donald Trump has on voter propensity in these battleground districts,” said Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “Too much emphasis is put on scenarios where Trump is not the Republican nominee, but our battleground data shows Trump’s absence on the ballot would likely result in lower turnout. In other words, Republicans have more to lose than gain without Trump on the ballot.”
Read MorePoll: 65% Willing to Deport Illegal Immigrants; 64% Want to Militarize the Border as Immigration Surges as Top Priority for Congress
WASHINGTON, D.C. (January 16, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released a new national poll (conducted Jan. 11-12) on an array of trending issues in the 2024 general election. “This new national data shows just how voters view an unsecure border and the subsequent illegal immigration as a crisis, one that they believe is not being addressed by the Biden Administration,” said Cygnal President Brent Buchanan. “Republican candidates at all levels would be wise to tap into this sentiment and contrast themselves with a sheepish bench of Democrats who have largely let the issue fester to a boiling point no locality can afford to further ignore because it’s impacting voters day-to-day lives. This is also likely why our data shows huge support for mass deportations and the militarization of the Southern border.”
Read MorePoll: RFK Jr., Manchin’s Impact on 2024 + Newsom’s Failed ‘Plan B’ Experiment and Party Extremism
WASHINGTON, D.C. (December 13, 2023) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released a new national poll (conducted Dec. 5-7) on an array of trending international and domestic topics along with the 2024 general election. “With less than a year until the 2024 election, our final poll of the year offers some clear insights on the potential impact of RFK Jr. and Joe Manchin in a Biden-Trump rematch,” said Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “Despite prevailing narratives suggesting RFK ‘steals’ equally from Trump and Biden, he is hurting Biden more than Trump. Kennedy wins more Democrats and left-leaning Independents than he does Republicans. Add Manchin to the mix and the race moves back to a tie.”
Read MoreFlorida Statewide Poll: Republicans Hold Firm Leads + Presidential Matchups
WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 20, 2023) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released this new poll (conducted Nov. 13-15) of general election voters in Florida. The state favors Republicans as the generic Congressional ballot stands at R+6, and voters are slightly more optimistic about the direction of the state (48% right direction; 44% wrong track).
Read MoreNew Poll of Hispanics in America: The Economy, Immigration, 2024 Matchups, Abortion, and the American Dream
WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 15, 2023) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released this new poll (conducted Nov. 6-12) of Hispanic voters in key states across America, including Arizona, Florida, Nevada, and Texas’s Rio Grande Valley.
Read MoreNEW MONTHLY NATIONAL POLL: Biden Sees Movement in His Image Due to Israel; Voters’ Opinions of Causal Factors of Mass Shootings; Israel vs. Ukraine Funding; and Persuadable Voters Strongly Moved by National Security as a Top Issue
WASHINGTON, D.C. (November 7, 2023) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released this new national poll (conducted Oct, 30 – Nov. 1) on an array of trending international and domestic topics along with the 2024 general election.
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