New York Post: Battleground-district poll shows Trump’s path to victory — but problems for down-ballot Republicans (Cygnal Poll)
While the vast majority of congressional seats are not in play this fall due to partisan apportionments, a number are considered battlegrounds nonetheless. And in those districts, spread across Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia and Washington, the race is tight at the top of the ticket and in the battle for control of the House. Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling of 1,503 likely general-election voters Cygnal conducted in those districts Sept. 11 through 13 — and shared early with The Post.
Read MoreWashington Examiner – 2016 Trump looks prophetic on the topics driving 2024’s election
A seismic shift in opinion is occurring among the electorate with just months until Election Day. While issues fluctuate in prominence from election cycle to cycle, pollsters are observing a sustained hardening of views among voters on two prominent 2024 election topics: illegal immigration and crime.
Read MorePoll: Shapiro Only Ahead by 3%, Fetterman by 4%
A new nationwide poll of Ukraine released today shows Ukrainians are experiencing extraordinary stress amid the Russian invasion and would like protective and offensive weapons, as well as financial and humanitarian aid—the majority, however, no longer see a no-fly zone as a top priority. The joint Cygnal and Gradus poll surveyed 1,000 Ukrainians and included those currently in Ukraine and those who have left the country.
Read MoreBrock McCleary Named to City & State PA Political Consultants Power 50 List
PENNSYLVANIA – Cygnal’s Brock McCleary was named to City & State PA Political Consultants Power 50 List – the top political consultants within the state. The list includes 50 rankings that are determined by the recent political consulting work done on behalf of the candidates across Pennsylvania, factoring in wins and losses in statewide and […]
Read MoreHow Bad Is Biden’s Slump?
Cygnal’s Brock McCleary was quoted in The New Yorker, giving insight into what Republicans in swing states are focused on heading towards the 2022 midterms. “Making the argument that spending is driving inflation and that excessive social spending is keeping people out of the workforce becomes easier when the signature legislative achievement of the […]
Read MoreIn New Electoral College Map, Shifting Battleground Dynamics
“I’m skeptical of the idea that if Biden were to prevail that somehow that would trigger a reimagining of the Republican Party in the aftermath,” said Brock McCleary, a Harrisburg-based pollster whose political practice specializes in working for GOP campaigns and candidates.
Read MorePa. Republicans’ ‘Summer of Toomey’ gives way to a political spring for gubernatorial and Senate hopefuls
“I’m skeptical of the idea that if Biden were to prevail that somehow that would trigger a reimagining of the Republican Party in the aftermath,” said Brock McCleary, a Harrisburg-based pollster whose political practice specializes in working for GOP campaigns and candidates.
Read MoreTo Trump,’the Polls that Matter’ point to victory, The rest are ‘fake.’
The amount of polling from Mr. Fabrizio and Mr. McLaughlin has dwindled in recent weeks. Instead, Mr. Stepien quietly hired another pollster, Bill Skelly, who helped create the Republican National Committee’s complex modeling for voter turnout scenarios and who is conducting data analysis for the camp, and Brock McCleary, who has worked with clients who […]
Read MoreTrump has struggled with seniors. Can he make up the difference with Hispanic voters?
“I’m skeptical of the idea that if Biden were to prevail that somehow that would trigger a reimagining of the Republican Party in the aftermath,” said Brock McCleary, a Harrisburg-based pollster whose political practice specializes in working for GOP campaigns and candidates.
Read MoreAre the Polls still making the same mistake all over again?
Brock McCleary, president of Harper Polling, recently told Roll Call that voter behavior will get more mysterious. Pollsters typically model turnout using statistical methods to estimate who will be a likely voter, he explained, but that gets more difficult in a pandemic as states shake up voting methods to prevent the virus’ spread. “Is it going to […]
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