Cygnal Saw the Future of Polling First…FiveThirtyEight Agrees
Cygnal was the only Republican pollster with absolutely no races with an error outside the margin of error. We also predicted the correct winner in 95% of our pre-election polls.
Read MoreI Did Not Want to Work for a Political Vendor.
I’ll be honest. I really did not want to work for a political vendor. It’s nothing against them. I have hired a lot of vendors over the years, and overall, they have been quite good – some have even become good friends. But… I wasn’t sure I wanted to spend my time selling. I was […]
Read MoreThe Parties’ Changing Coalitions by Congressional District
Though we disagree vehemently on ideology 🤫, the data team over at Daily Kos Elections has calculated the results of the last three presidential elections by congressional district, a gift for us election data nerds. Here at Cygnal, we like to use these numbers to look at different trends over time – especially anything that […]
Read MorePolling Is Broken…At Least the Very Old & Very New Ways of Doing It
Not a conversation has gone by in the past several months that hasn’t devolved into “what’s wrong with polling” after someone finds out I work at a polling firm. And there’s good reason for the general public – and even practitioners – to doubt the accuracy of political polls. Let’s step into some minutia quickly […]
Read MoreCygnal Poll: Legislators’ Jobs Turned Upside Down by COVID-19, Polling & Technology Prove Invaluable for Advocacy Outreach
WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 325 state lawmakers and staff, conducted by the national survey research and polling firm Cygnal, shows that COVID-19 has had a big impact on the business of legislating. Despite the pandemic, however, the best way to capture a legislator’s attention is still through their constituents. The nationwide Cygnal survey […]
Read MoreCounty Trends & Toplines
Below is a dashboard that tracks the difference in the margin between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. In the top left corner is a dropdown menu to filter the results by whichever state you would like to see. The top is a map and then all of the counties are plotted below showing the […]
Read MoreRepublicans Raised 2 Billion Dollars in 2020. Where Did it Go? We Have the Details.
After years of being outpaced among individual donors, WinRed, a donation platform, was created as an answer to ActBlue Democratic's third-party processing site for donations . With the party completely on board, WinRed would process almost $2 billion for the 2020 cycle to federal races, on top of state and local candidates. Find out where the money went.
Read MorePolling: the Panacea for Persuasion During a Pandemic
Think back to the end of the 2020 state legislative sessions. Legislative chambers across the country closed their doors as the pandemic spread. Some, like in Georgia, hit the pause button due to COVID-19 outbreaks among members then finished up in the summer. The public and lobbyists weren’t allowed in the building. It’s looking like […]
Read MoreIowa voters would view Hart as an illegitimate congresswoman if installed by House: Poll
According to the survey, which was conducted for American Action Network by Republican polling firm Cygnal, 7-in-10 voters in the district say a dispute about election results should be decided by Iowa’s courts, while just 9% want the dispute decided by lawmakers in Washington. The poll includes two-thirds of voters who say they voted for […]
Read MorePa. Republicans’ ‘Summer of Toomey’ gives way to a political spring for gubernatorial and Senate hopefuls
“I’m skeptical of the idea that if Biden were to prevail that somehow that would trigger a reimagining of the Republican Party in the aftermath,” said Brock McCleary, a Harrisburg-based pollster whose political practice specializes in working for GOP campaigns and candidates.
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