Cygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 10/24/22
Whitmer is just below the 50% mark with a 5-and-a-half-point lead over Dixon (though that will probably shrink as we’ll talk about in the next section), and the generic ballot holds steady at R+2. Incumbent Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson also has a seven-point lead of 48% / 41%, but in the Attorney General race, Dana Nessel only leads 45% / 43% (+2%). The table below shows that some of this is a higher undecided number for Democrats but also more undecideds with Independents too. As partisans return home, and without the actual third-party number being higher, it would not be surprising to see this margin wind up similar to the other statewide candidates.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 10/23/22
Democrats have very slightly tightened the generic and named ballots but continue to suffer from an enthusiasm problem, as Republicans have strong negative feelings towards President Biden and the direction of the country and are ready to vote. One of our questions asks enthusiasm on a 1 through 10 scale, with 10 being the most excited to vote. The table below takes the Senate ballot as an example and shows that JD Vance voters are much more likely to say that they are a 10 out of 10, while nearly 40% of Ryan voters chose 6 or lower.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 10/22/22
The generic ballot remained at R+2 but on the named ballots Democrats made slight gains, as Whitmer now leads the gubernatorial race by 6 and the other two also moved more positive. Turnout is likely to be high in this race as more and more votes come in. We say that because it’s not just the Definitely will vote absentee by mail that is dropping but also those that said that they are only Probably voting. Overall, assuming some people who say they are voting by mail not showing up, we would expect about 60% of the vote to come on Election Day.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 10/21/22
Republicans continue to hold wide leads on the generic ballot as well as Governor, AG, and SoS. The Senate ballot sees a very narrow tightening from 4 to 3 points, but each candidate’s support is becoming more solid and undecideds drop once again.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 10/20/22
Governor Whitmer’s lead on the ballot is now at 6%, an improvement from the 5-point lead of in our poll from last week and just below a majority. Republican support in the row offices has also dropped a little since last time so AG Dana Nessel and SoS Jocelyn Benson but both continue to lead. Even with large Democratic leads at the top of the ballot, Republicans are ahead 48/4 or a little under two points on the generic ballot, which has implications for the hard fought congressional and state legislative races. Pair that with the Michigan right direction/wrong track number that is underwater at 41/53 (-12%) and there is still an opening for Republican inroads in the state.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 10/19/22
A large majority of 70% of voters believe the United States is heading in the wrong direction, with a near majority of 48% saying the U.S. is definitely heading in the wrong direction. Inflation and the cost of living is the top concern for 34% of voters, and 85% of those voters believe the US is on the wrong track, as respondents give really poor marks on economic issues.
Read MorePoll: Trump holds commanding lead in potential 2024 GOP presidential primary
A survey of 1,204 likely Republican presidential primary voters, conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal, shows former President Donald Trump with a strong hold on the presidential primary ballot, and a GOP base motivated by inflation and pocketbook issues.
Read MoreBrent Buchanan on Spicer & Co. Discusses Biden Image, Top Issues, & More Just A Few Weeks Out From Midterms
Check out this awesome interview with Cygnal’s President and Founder, Brent Buchanan, featured on Spicer & Co. on Newsmax!
Read MoreSeptember National Voter Trends Panel
In our September National Voter Trends Panel, Cygnal Pollster Chris Lane and Director of Sampling & Innovation Noah Wyhof-Rudnick delivered key insights into the data shifts from the past month.
Read MoreAugust National Voter Trends Panel
In our August National Voter Trends Panel, Cygnal Pollster & VP Brock McCleary and Director of Sampling & Innovation Noah Wyhof-Rudnick delivered key insights into the data shifts from the past month.
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